Introduction
Poker isn’t just about having the best hand. It is also about playing the game better than your opponents. Time and time again, we have seen underdogs, rise to the occasion and turn the tables on the favorites. In a game where anything can happen, being the underdog is just another way of saying you have something to prove.
In this blog, we will explore what it truly means to be an underdog in poker.
What is the Meaning of Dog in Poker?
The term ‘dog’ (short for ‘underdog’) in Poker refers to a player or hand that has a lower statistical chance of winning against an opponent’s hand. If you are the dog in a hand, you need skill or a strong bluffing strategy to win.
Even though underdogs start with a disadvantage, Poker is a game of probabilities, psychology, and tactics. Many professional players successfully play as the dog by making mathematically correct decisions and capitalizing on their opponent’s weaknesses.
Types of Underdogs in Poker
-
Preflop Underdog (Weaker Starting Hands)
Before any community cards are dealt, some hands are naturally weaker than others. A player holding an inferior hand is called a preflop underdog.
Example: Pocket Aces (AA) vs. Pocket Kings (KK)
Two players go all-in before the flop in a cash game where both have ₹10,000 in their stack.
Player 1: A♠ A♥ (Pocket Aces)
Player 2: K♠ K♦ (Pocket Kings)
Since AA wins about 81% of the time, KK is a 19% underdog.
If Player 2 wants to call an all-in bet of ₹10,000, they are putting in ₹10,000 to potentially win ₹20,000 (the total pot). But since they are only winning 19% of the time, this is not a profitable call in the long run.
-
Postflop Underdog (Losing Strength After Community Cards)
A hand may start as the favorite preflop but become an underdog after the flop, turn, or river.
Example: You Have A♠ K♠, Opponent Has 9♥ 9♠
You are playing a ₹1,000/₹2,000 cash game, and you raise to ₹6,000 with A♠ K♠. Your opponent calls with 9♥ 9♠.
Flop: 9♦ Q♠ J♠
Now, even though you started strong, your opponent has three of a kind (trip 9s), while you have an inside straight draw and a flush draw.
Flush outs: 9 remaining spades.
Straight outs: 3 remaining tens (10♠ already counted in the flush draw).
Total outs: 9 (flush) + 3 (straight) = 12 outs.
Using the Rule of 4 for turn + river:
12 × 4 = 48% equity.
Exact probability: ~45% to win, 55% to lose.
Even though you are behind, you still have a decent chance to win if the turn or river brings a spade (for a flush) or a 10 (for a straight).
-
All-In Underdog (Mathematical Disadvantage)
When a player goes all-in behind, they are a clear dog in the hand.
Example: 10♠ 10♦ vs. J♣ J♥ (All-in Preflop)
You are in a tournament where blinds are ₹5,000/₹10,000, and you have ₹50,000 left. You shove all-in with 10♠ 10♦, and your opponent calls with J♣ J♥.
Preflop, you are a 19% underdog since JJ wins 81% of the time.
If the board runs out 2♣ 4♠ 7♠ 8♥ K♦, your opponent's jacks hold, and you lose.
Since you were an underdog preflop and didn’t improve, you were expected to lose.
-
Mathematical Underdog (Odds and Probabilities)
Even when you have a strong drawing hand, you might still be a mathematical underdog.
Example: 8♥ 9♥ vs. A♠ A♣ on a 7♠ 10♥ 3♣ flop
You are playing a ₹500/₹1,000 cash game, and the pot has ₹10,000.
Your opponent is ahead with pocket Aces, but you have an open-ended straight draw (needing a 6 or J).
Straight outs: 8 total (4 sixes, 4 jacks).
Using the Rule of 4: 8 × 4 = 32% (turn + river probability).
Exact probability: ~31.5%.
You are a mathematical underdog because you only win about 1 in 3 times. However, if your opponent bets ₹2,000 into a ₹10,000 pot, you are getting great odds to call.
How to Win as an Underdog
Even though being the dog means you are statistically behind, skilled Poker players know how to turn the situation to their advantage.
-
Play the Player, Not Just the Cards
If you sense that your opponent is weak or scared, you can bluff to make them fold.
A well-timed semi-bluff (betting when you have a draw) can win the pot even when you are behind.
Example:
If you are playing a ₹2,000/₹4,000 cash game and the pot is ₹30,000, a strong bluff of ₹20,000 can force a fold even when you are the underdog.
-
Use Pot Odds and Implied Odds
Pot odds help you decide whether calling is profitable when you are behind.
Implied odds consider how much extra money you could win if you hit your hand.
Example: Pot Odds for a Flush Draw
Pot is ₹50,000, opponent bets ₹10,000.
Pot odds = ₹10,000 to win ₹60,000 (6-to-1).
Flush draw hits ~19% of the time (1 in 4.2 odds).
If implied odds are factored in, the call is profitable.
-
Position is Power
If you act last (on the button), you have more information before deciding whether to bet, call, or fold.
Being in position allows you to control the size of the pot and force opponents to make mistakes.
-
Know When to Fold as a Dog
Not every underdog hand is worth playing.
If you are a big underdog and your pot odds don’t justify calling, it's best to fold and wait for a better spot.
Example: Bad Drawing Hand
You are in a ₹1,000/₹2,000 cash game, and you have J♥ 10♠. The flop comes A♣ K♠ 7♠, and your opponent bets ₹10,000 into a ₹15,000 pot.
You only have a gutshot straight draw (hoping for a Queen).
Since you only hit a straight about 8% of the time, calling ₹10,000 is a bad decision.
Frequently Asked Questions
What it means to be a ‘dog’ in Poker?
In Poker, a ‘dog’ (underdog) refers to a player or hand that has a lower probability of winning compared to an opponent’s hand. This can be due to weaker hole cards, unfavorable board texture, or mathematical odds.
Can an underdog still win in Poker?
Yes! Poker is a game of probability, psychology, and skill. Even if a hand is an underdog preflop, it can improve on the flop, turn, or river. Players can also win as a dog by using bluffing, position, and pot odds to outplay stronger hands.
How do you know if you are the underdog in a hand?
You are the underdog if your hand has a lower percentage chance of winning against your opponent’s hand based on Poker odds. Common scenarios include smaller pocket pairs vs. higher ones (e.g., 88 vs. QQ), drawing hands vs. made hands (e.g., flush draw vs. two pair), or dominated hands (e.g., AQ vs. AK).
Should you always fold if you are the underdog?
No. Being an underdog doesn’t always mean folding is the best option. If you have good pot odds, implied odds, or an opportunity to bluff, calling or raising might be profitable. However, if you are a huge underdog with little chance to improve, folding is the right move.
Conclusion
Poker is a game where the unexpected happens, and underdogs prove time and time again that skill, patience, and strategy can overcome the odds. Remember that the greatest Poker victories aren’t just about the cards. They are about the players who refuse to back down, read the table, seize opportunities, and strike at the perfect moment.